Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x306542633721712f244eeb90b143268ba00edfb4b4e1a57e24d959f5da2f84eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5333…0427backed No | 11c | 141,718$15,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,175.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…d019backed No | 21c | 22,121$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 30c | 16,093$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 72c | 10,045$7,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked No | 37c | 5,390$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…2400backed Yes | 79c | 4,996$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 63c | 3,959$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 28c | 3,610$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Yes | 77c | 2,630$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…ceaebacked Yes | 69c | 1,740$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…01aebacked Yes | 62c | 1,516$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed No | 31c | 1,501$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.22 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…30a2backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 35c | 1,067$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.37 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed No | 21c | 1,023$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…c828backed Yes | 74c | 899.99$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…e5fabacked No | 38c | 887.52$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…232ebacked Yes | 70c | 851.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 79c | 733.08$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…7cd6backed Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 37c | 584.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…f5e8backed No | 27c | 572.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…ae3fbacked Yes | 71c | 500$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…5840backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 74c | 458.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 67c | 456$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…dd52backed No | 31c | 419$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 25c | 400.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…640dbacked Yes | 71c | 381.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…506abacked No | 38c | 353.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…6bfbbacked No | 28c | 350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 64c | 347.78$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed No | 21c | 340$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…29fbbacked Yes | 75c | 334.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…7274backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x715b…3ee1backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked No | 34c | 292$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 71c | 282.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 21c | 281.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed No | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked No | 39c | 257.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed No | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 34c | 248.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 80c | 247.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…6bacbacked No | 32c | 228.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…6671backed No | 36c | 227.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 220.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 35c | 215.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbe…b19bbacked Yes | 65c | 206.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Yes | 68c | 205.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed Yes | 66c | 205$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed No | 16c | 202.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 63c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 199.69$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 72c | 195$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8b…27e9backed Yes | 70c | 186.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…ee8dbacked No | 25c | 179.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c05…f88ebacked Yes | 72c | 172.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…ce54backed Yes | 72c | 153$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 58c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…baefbacked Yes | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…8b2dbacked Yes | 73c | 139.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d50…bd2dbacked Yes | 72c | 135.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…a74cbacked No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…017ebacked Yes | 71c | 131$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Yes | 77c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…17a7backed Yes | 72c | 122.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…65c2backed Yes | 71c | 122.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…40c7backed No | 39c | 121.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…8196backed Yes | 65c | 119.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +162%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…a603backed Yes | 72c | 118.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…e392backed No | 35c | 115.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…c235backed Yes | 65c | 113.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…8e01backed Yes | 64c | 112.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b1…451bbacked Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…f3cfbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…1150backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…166abacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…d3cabacked Yes | 72c | 92.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…ea58backed Yes | 71c | 92.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…f829backed Yes | 65c | 91.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3d70backed Yes | 71c | 90.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 31c | 82.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f78…e890backed No | 34c | 80.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f06…13bbbacked Yes | 71c | 80.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…aa7abacked Yes | 67c | 80.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…67bcbacked No | 37c | 78.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.