MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c85f2635638f08e8e0c3c1114489424dc120c4eba66233884ae54c815f19d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Diamondbacks, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 83,112$42,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,618.44 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 49c | 23,647$11,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,004.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 47c | 21,397$10,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,251.56 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 43c | 20,060$8,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,432.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 13,253$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…7ceebacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 13,212$7,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,966.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 12,218$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.53 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 9,257$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.94 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 63c | 6,930$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,207$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.25 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 4,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,176$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 49c | 2,641$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 2,456$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.88 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,442$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.95 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 50c | 2,187$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.18 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 52c | 2,017$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.24 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,787$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.25 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers | 50c | 1,653$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.51 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.18 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,379$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,279$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.23 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,200$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,091$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,070$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Dodgers | 58c | 951.74$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.74 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Dodgers | 44c | 909.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.64 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 867.75$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 56c | 745.61$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Dodgers | 54c | 741.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.87 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Dodgers | 48c | 730.42$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.42 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 49c | 663$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 659.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers | 43c | 649.95$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.43 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 610.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 602.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 573$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Dodgers | 56c | 542.76$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.81 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Dodgers | 61c | 503.5$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Dodgers | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 496.3$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 491.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 51c | 487.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.25 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…8ff2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 461.48$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 458.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Dodgers | 50c | 451.84$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 49c | 450$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 429.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Dodgers | 56c | 427.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…4aedbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 406.41$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…e165backed Dodgers | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…eabcbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 381.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e5…5abfbacked Dodgers | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…c59abacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 363.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 36c | 358.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dodgers | 45c | 350$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…f1ecbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 341.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…c8b4backed Dodgers | 58c | 331.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Dodgers | 59c | 329.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdf…9127backed Dodgers | 58c | 321.9$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…4e83backed Dodgers | 58c | 320.66$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Dodgers | 59c | 317.13$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…90f2backed Dodgers | 58c | 310.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…93e6backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 302.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 302$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Dodgers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…16e2backed Dodgers | 58c | 292.79$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c3…b759backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…2950backed Dodgers | 58c | 276.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 271$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Diamondbacks | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 246$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 245$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 232.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Dodgers | 63c | 227.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…27ebbacked Dodgers | 58c | 212.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…9260backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…5413backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 207.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 185$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…8c03backed Dodgers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…25a0backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 172.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…e4d8backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…6c41backed Dodgers | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…ef26backed Dodgers | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…167fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 145.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Dodgers | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…bd23backed Dodgers | 58c | 125.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.