NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6699592037ab55a67630c5a68b0f8bb85718d1518bafa5a758a00a0a760e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Giants | 8c | 19,362$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.36 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Giants | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 5c | 12,612$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.33 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Giants | 0c | 6,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Giants | 8c | 4,848$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Giants | 7c | 3,814$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Giants | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Giants | 5c | 3,039$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Giants | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Giants | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Giants | 9c | 2,328$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Giants | 9c | 2,178$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Giants | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Giants | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d30…ec0dbacked Giants | 3c | 1,470$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Giants | 9c | 1,428$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Giants | 9c | 1,371$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Giants | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Giants | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Giants | 1c | 1,225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…49bbbacked Giants | 8c | 1,224$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Giants | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Giants | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…96f9backed Giants | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…3368backed Giants | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 8c | 999.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Giants | 7c | 999.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Giants | 8c | 860.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Giants | 9c | 860$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Giants | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…a4acbacked Giants | 8c | 819.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Giants | 2c | 649.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Giants | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Giants | 8c | 578.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Giants | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Giants | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Giants | 8c | 443.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Giants | 7c | 353.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Giants | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Giants | 8c | 317$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…1afcbacked Giants | 4c | 311.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Giants | 8c | 299.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…14efbacked Giants | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…7631backed Giants | 9c | 252$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Giants | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Giants | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Giants | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…3689backed Giants | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Giants | 8c | 219.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Giants | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…e88abacked Giants | 8c | 143.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Giants | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…5de1backed Giants | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Giants | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…481abacked Giants | 9c | 121$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.