Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d7301c569d569d9a465d6edb5613d1f984019d8abb1d194312668687044500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,723,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,254,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,723,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 6c | 117,546$7,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,231.65 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 4c | 99,367$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…2a4ebacked Yes | 5c | 98,529$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…76c8backed Yes | 5c | 95,658$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 6c | 86,589$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.64 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 55,429$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes | 8c | 48,892$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 43,679$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.62 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 42,914$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…c974backed Yes | 5c | 41,838$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 1c | 33,349$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 5c | 32,197$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 7c | 31,820$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.96 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 4c | 30,000$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…557cbacked Yes | 3c | 28,893$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 6c | 25,061$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes | 6c | 25,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…bbc2backed Yes | 3c | 21,403$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes | 6c | 19,982$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Yes | 3c | 18,788$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…d678backed Yes | 7c | 18,300$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 2c | 17,988$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.2 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…5b71backed Yes | 6c | 17,790$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…dc4dbacked Yes | 3c | 14,706$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…fe74backed Yes | 5c | 14,586$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 3c | 14,424$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…92e8backed Yes | 3c | 13,740$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035d…5a61backed Yes | 8c | 13,085$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 5c | 12,669$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 7c | 11,759$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 10,728$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.87 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…50a4backed Yes | 6c | 9,776$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…3ee7backed Yes | 7c | 7,572$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…6770backed Yes | 6c | 7,069$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 7,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…dbe2backed Yes | 7c | 6,944$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…9d48backed Yes | 6c | 6,661$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 6c | 6,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 6c | 5,835$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 3c | 5,323$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 5,191$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…2687backed Yes | 4c | 5,067$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 3c | 5,021$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…1e89backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…319dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,603$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…e7cabacked Yes | 3c | 4,385$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…d19dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,306$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…adb4backed Yes | 7c | 4,257$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed Yes | 3c | 4,211$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…0f91backed Yes | 3c | 4,139$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…ed2dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,116$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 1c | 3,914$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 3,758$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…dcedbacked Yes | 4c | 3,705$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,700$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 5c | 3,630$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…7d21backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 6c | 3,462$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…b610backed Yes | 6c | 3,433$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,398$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…b1afbacked Yes | 1c | 3,348$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,148$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,015$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 2c | 2,811$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 5c | 2,785$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 6c | 2,611$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Yes | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 6c | 2,525$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…c16ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,513$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…6d42backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a9d3backed Yes | 3c | 2,292$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 5c | 2,242$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,232$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 1c | 2,198$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 2,189$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 1c | 2,163$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 7c | 2,083$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,043$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…6548backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…ef4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…a6d8backed Yes | 5c | 1,951$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…3e79backed Yes | 8c | 1,825$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e6…5b0abacked Yes | 5c | 1,820$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…e4e8backed Yes | 6c | 1,805$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,794$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…d635backed Yes | 1c | 1,737$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 2c | 1,624$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +593.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,482$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…8f87backed Yes | 7c | 1,471$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Yes | 7c | 1,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,435$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.