NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x357616dd661c2d5049d3980cde0244b8408db0831d17c6e2a4dc2891da6d56f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 6,219$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.13 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Warriors | 78c | 3,655$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.15 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 3,233$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.47 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 70c | 2,726$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.79 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 973.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 65c | 968.69$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.04 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Warriors | 67c | 811.76$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Warriors | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed Warriors | 70c | 713.08$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Warriors | 73c | 454.29$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Warriors | 67c | 371.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…bbdebacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 355.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 304.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 302$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Warriors | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 299.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 292.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 288.87$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Warriors | 75c | 283.27$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Warriors | 73c | 274.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 224.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 66c | 207.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Warriors | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 196.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Warriors | 79c | 159.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 158.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…a884backed Warriors | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…a8d7backed Warriors | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Warriors | 69c | 149.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Warriors | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…748dbacked Warriors | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Warriors | 75c | 115.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 115.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Warriors | 71c | 106.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Warriors | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Warriors | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Warriors | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…84fbbacked Warriors | 76c | 78.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Warriors | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Warriors | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Warriors | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Warriors | 69c | 66.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Warriors | 74c | 63.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Warriors | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 63c | 51.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…cf42backed Warriors | 74c | 47.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Warriors | 75c | 47.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Warriors | 70c | 44.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…9741backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…3917backed Warriors | 74c | 42.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd467…07d0backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 41.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…211fbacked Warriors | 74c | 39.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…eb44backed Warriors | 74c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…501bbacked Warriors | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Warriors | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9137…0c92backed Warriors | 75c | 34.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Warriors | 74c | 33.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…ab50backed Warriors | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed Warriors | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Warriors | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa98e…485dbacked Warriors | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Warriors | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 139 | 69.1%96 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Warriors | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…6e66backed Warriors | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Warriors | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf821…001fbacked Warriors | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…3fc8backed Warriors | 72c | 23.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…ae9bbacked Warriors | 73c | 22.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…68c0backed Warriors | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…3824backed Warriors | 71c | 16.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Warriors | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.