WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2bcedcae3f18be4957d8563a2e8346d04b66962b9adc2c908598d260245aa69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 53c | 12,371$6,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.99 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 50c | 7,805$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.44 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 5,421$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.92 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,453$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.29 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 2,168$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.89 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 1,612$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 1,284$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.44 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…5cccbacked Under | 53c | 905.16$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 834.92$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.86 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 605.78$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.06 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 576.5$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 500.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.83 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 300.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 256$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Under | 53c | 254.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…bce4backed Under | 53c | 254.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 48c | 230.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 25c | 207$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 192.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 58c | 129.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 47c | 126.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 61c | 125.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 47c | 92.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 39c | 90.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 74.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 50c | 67.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Under | 53c | 65.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 59.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 58.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 53.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6aa5backed Under | 27c | 52.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…197abacked Over | 48c | 29.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 56c | 26.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 47c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…131bbacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 50c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 21.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 50c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 174.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.