WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b50590d2123f0e8a568980d0672a03149a233561bf1f2b8de6a7a9feacaf3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 4,894$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.66 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 2,250$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.08 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 52c | 1,630$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.06 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 1,316$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 1,258$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.1 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,254$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 828.83$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.58 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 53c | 794.49$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.25 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 36c | 442.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 419.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 345.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 55c | 339.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 287.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 276.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 55c | 266.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…23b4backed Over | 45c | 250.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 250.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 220.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 205.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 201.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…1750backed Under | 55c | 176.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 54c | 173.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 42c | 172.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 64c | 142$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…ec00backed Over | 45c | 132.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 105.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 58c | 99.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 56c | 89.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 88.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…e15cbacked Over | 20c | 88.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 46c | 84.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Under | 49c | 81.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 59c | 66.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 55c | 61.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 43c | 55.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 47c | 54.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 58c | 52.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 48.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 38c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 71c | 23.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 53c | 21.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 20.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 175.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.