Boxing · resolved market
Brian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d8db2eeda6c305fc49bfdd8f57e3a4b1923fbef906cae084ce3c3d0d4c710c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haneyof Norman Jr., Haney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Norman Jr. | 52c | 21,883$11,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,407.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Haney | 57c | 8,541$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.14 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Haney | 63c | 4,155$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Haney | 55c | 3,159$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Haney | 46c | 2,040$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Haney | 75c | 1,336$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Haney | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Haney | 65c | 1,175$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…3957backed Norman Jr. | 54c | 737.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Haney | 50c | 612$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…c23fbacked Haney | 48c | 384.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Haney | 54c | 364.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed Haney | 49c | 363.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Haney | 49c | 313.51$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…77b1backed Haney | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…6679backed Haney | 47c | 277.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Haney | 47c | 224.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Haney | 52c | 223.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…8897backed Haney | 49c | 221.22$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Norman Jr. | 51c | 207.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…4710backed Haney | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…d2f1backed Haney | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1eefbacked Haney | 51c | 196.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…f88fbacked Haney | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…b79ebacked Haney | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…b3ffbacked Norman Jr. | 10c | 189.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…1ea4backed Haney | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Norman Jr. | 53c | 169.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Haney | 49c | 152.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Haney | 55c | 109.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Haney | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…f3eebacked Norman Jr. | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Haney | 50c | 94.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Norman Jr. | 45c | 76.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…eea3backed Haney | 51c | 68.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…b789backed Norman Jr. | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…83e4backed Norman Jr. | 39c | 37.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Haney | 55c | 33.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…4ab6backed Norman Jr. | 66c | 24.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025this page
- Abdullah Mason vs Sam Noakes Nov 22, 2025Mason won
- David Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde Nov 22, 2025Benavidez won
- Jesse Rodriguez vs Fernando Martinez Nov 22, 2025Rodriguez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.