WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b3fc74a3edc527ff57670849878268083dd8851f51f09d90c5cc109417d4f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Las Vegas Aces, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.98 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 20,745$11,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,088.22 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 15,231$8,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,225 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 8,595$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.72 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 7,956$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.07 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 4,165$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.06 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 1c | 3,449$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 3,070$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.35 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 16c | 3,052$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.26 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 2,888$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 17c | 2,817$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.08 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 2,647$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.95 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 17c | 2,298$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.7 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 2,288$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.76 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 2,249$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.03 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 2,206$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.12 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 2,200$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 2,064$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.94 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,911$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.69 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 1,850$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 1,277$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.77 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 1,223$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 992.65$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 981.87$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 19c | 896.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 777$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 583$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Indiana Fever | 44c | 549.92$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.95 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 535$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.88 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 500.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Las Vegas Aces | 18c | 481.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Las Vegas Aces | 21c | 419.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 44c | 413.73$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.69 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Las Vegas Aces | 16c | 403.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 382.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 374.55$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 374.55$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Indiana Fever | 44c | 352.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 346.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Las Vegas Aces | 22c | 313.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Las Vegas Aces | 24c | 309.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 16c | 266$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Las Vegas Aces | 34c | 248.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Las Vegas Aces | 18c | 239.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 18c | 212.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 192.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 44c | 180.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 178.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 138.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Las Vegas Aces | 12c | 134.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Las Vegas Aces | 25c | 123.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 107.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 90.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Las Vegas Aces | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Fever | 75c | 83.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 81.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 79.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 79.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 62.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Las Vegas Aces | 23c | 61.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 76c | 55.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 50.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Las Vegas Aces | 32c | 46.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 42.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 40.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed Las Vegas Aces | 35c | 38.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Las Vegas Aces | 36c | 28.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.