WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd94d5129ec4474c248316f689560f459f95f15cb2dff5cd74a8bd5d8312c440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 51c | 4,042$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.25 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 3,977$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 1,018$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.13 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 788.19$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.05 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 429$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.43 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Under | 70c | 424.7$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 407.16$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 17c | 388.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Over | 52c | 351.28$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 334.41$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 310.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.77 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…25a2backed Over | 51c | 310.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 55c | 291.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Over | 49c | 290.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…3063backed Over | 62c | 279.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Under | 68c | 276.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Over | 55c | 245.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 236.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 50c | 236.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 37c | 230.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 161.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…da36backed Over | 49c | 142.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 45c | 141.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 123.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 51c | 110.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 32c | 105.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 45c | 102$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 13c | 99.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 93.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 89.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 38c | 85.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 56c | 83.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 71.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 56c | 69.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 62c | 64.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Over | 78c | 61.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 58.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 41c | 58.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 57.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 47c | 55.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 38c | 54.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Under | 58c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 52c | 52.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 52c | 33.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 33.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 35c | 33.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 54c | 30.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 59c | 30.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 52c | 28.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Over | 48c | 27.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 48c | 27.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 26.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.