WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8666a457b0eb1dbd929bd1b962a2cd171fa9966a2995ae8b49a52ce2cd80611b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 52c | 1,606$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.12 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.01 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,135$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 721.23$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 56c | 718.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 505.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.93 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Under | 6c | 440.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 22c | 398.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 11c | 396.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 70c | 357.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 56c | 308.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 274$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 32c | 265.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 50c | 251.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…de2ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 56c | 186.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 178.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 7c | 174.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 44c | 170.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Under | 22c | 161.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 48c | 159.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 148.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 28c | 146.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…a7c8backed Under | 54c | 120.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 26c | 120.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Under | 34c | 119.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 112.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 108.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 15c | 97.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Under | 22c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 13c | 92.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 41c | 92.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 86.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 57c | 76.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 60c | 76.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 15c | 76.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 15c | 75.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 15c | 75.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…74d2backed Under | 15c | 75.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 15c | 70.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 23c | 69.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 66c | 50.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Over | 51c | 46.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 27c | 39.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…04b0backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 33c | 33.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 38c | 26.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Under | 56c | 19.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 19.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…5149backed Under | 77c | 18.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.