WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa628545cda0ad433cad1552028f370d873adf6ab1ce65f4156f6bd863e6802a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Tempo | 6c | 18,397$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.59 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Toronto Tempo | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 7,873$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 5,555$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 4,233$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.36 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo | 4c | 2,370$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 2,063$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.13 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Toronto Tempo | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 1,897$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Toronto Tempo | 7c | 1,713$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Toronto Tempo | 14c | 1,389$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo | 3c | 1,373$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…d3a2backed Toronto Tempo | 2c | 1,347$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 1,262$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 1,257$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Toronto Tempo | 16c | 1,201$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Toronto Tempo | 21c | 951.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…724ebacked Toronto Tempo | 21c | 949.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Toronto Tempo | 3c | 728.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Toronto Tempo | 20c | 700.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Toronto Tempo | 6c | 699.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo | 9c | 635.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Toronto Tempo | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…ac8cbacked Toronto Tempo | 22c | 532.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Toronto Tempo | 21c | 487.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 469.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 435.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 417.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Toronto Tempo | 8c | 397.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Toronto Tempo | 7c | 377.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 375.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 297.3$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Toronto Tempo | 19c | 259.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 251.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 16c | 248$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 210.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Toronto Tempo | 7c | 191.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Toronto Tempo | 7c | 172.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 165.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 163.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Toronto Tempo | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 131.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Toronto Tempo | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 83.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 20c | 82.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Toronto Tempo | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Toronto Tempo | 21c | 68.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 64.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…1a8abacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 60.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 58.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 54.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 45.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…f20ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…95e5backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempothis page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.