WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625482b13dd878fbe008001e6653619e2ce456eadc363b8cf80d26adb9c6c898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 3,845$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.67 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,965$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,003$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.42 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 915.4$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 23c | 815.31$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 554.52$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 499.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 308$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 50c | 200.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 44c | 158$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 13c | 133.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 122.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 101.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Over | 53c | 84.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 52c | 55.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 48.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…cad7backed Over | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 39.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 47c | 28.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 52c | 22.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 56c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.