WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b49bd465d820c83116809b5da0f65654d7ba78af136123f89a28b7411f43e97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x227a…a09abacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 4,000$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 3,020$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.11 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 3,009$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.01 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 1,801$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.06 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,626$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.57 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,300$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 895.24$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.48 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 886.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.9 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 857.51$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.76 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 832.18$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 656.84$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.48 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 614.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 559.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 422.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6241backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 401.34$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 370.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 277.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 271.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 241$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 239$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 221$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 187.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Toronto Tempo | 61c | 101$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 94.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 144 | 45.1%65 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 94.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 89.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 53.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 51.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 49.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 44.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 34.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 34.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 31.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 29.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 24.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 22.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 22.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…eebfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 22.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…8eb9backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.