WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571a7c8ac4431c9e0d4368aa591aee1ab59953dd3aa3130a5470bc7ee731473f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 22,161$11,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,909.83 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 9,035$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.91 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 7,714$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 6,092$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.94 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 4,061$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.29 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 4,057$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…7f84backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 3,816$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 3,237$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Toronto Tempo | 55c | 2,658$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 2,543$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.07 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 2,428$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.64 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…2573backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 2,030$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 2,005$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 1,789$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.27 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,522$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.36 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 1,442$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.73 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 996.99$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.53 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 949.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 875$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.25 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 660.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 592.04$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 589.54$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 452.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 448.94$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 447$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 399.36$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.35 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 379.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Toronto Tempo | 57c | 174.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 129.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Las Vegas Aces | 60c | 110.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 26c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 100.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 100.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…0e48backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 94.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Toronto Tempo | 59c | 68.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 47.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 39.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5c…a04ebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 27.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 20.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 19.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.