TailMyPicks

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WNBA · resolved market

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Los Angeles Sparks, Indiana Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaed0…6f18backed Los Angeles Sparks30c11,230$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.863250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks13c9,011$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.2878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Los Angeles Sparks31c6,926$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.5110338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever70c5,763$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.5640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Los Angeles Sparks9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever70c5,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52083748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Indiana Fever70c3,838$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.4423245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever70c3,431$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Los Angeles Sparks30c3,381$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.737236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Sparks5c3,322$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0619428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Los Angeles Sparks1c2,735$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0644915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever70c2,355$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.5389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Indiana Fever71c2,081$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.357259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever73c1,410$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Los Angeles Sparks29c1,300$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.0112234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd654…45c2backed Indiana Fever71c999.98$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.994060%24 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks30c993.39$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6238645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Indiana Fever70c940$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28214942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Los Angeles Sparks30c750.28$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.257746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Los Angeles Sparks29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Los Angeles Sparks11c699.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.989318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Indiana Fever70c651$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.312751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Indiana Fever70c590.13$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0414452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Sparks29c568$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7236750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Indiana Fever70c552.61$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7832743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Los Angeles Sparks26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Indiana Fever71c453.23$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4441145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks29c441.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.271,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Los Angeles Sparks6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x856c…da72backed Los Angeles Sparks28c391.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Los Angeles Sparks29c380.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.294146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Los Angeles Sparks29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Sparks30c333.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Indiana Fever72c312$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.361172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Los Angeles Sparks18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Sparks29c254.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1531847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Indiana Fever72c222.22$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.225766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Indiana Fever72c216.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.743265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Indiana Fever72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5628558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Los Angeles Sparks30c176.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.033441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Los Angeles Sparks29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.886741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Los Angeles Sparks20c165.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.634353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Sparks30c163$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.925246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd981…c309backed Indiana Fever70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Indiana Fever72c157.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.513358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Indiana Fever72c127.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Indiana Fever79c125.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.465364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Indiana Fever70c113.11$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9329654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Los Angeles Sparks21c112.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.386934.8%24 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Indiana Fever70c110.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.35855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Indiana Fever71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Indiana Fever70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891a…1d79backed Los Angeles Sparks31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8d…44b1backed Los Angeles Sparks25c81.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Indiana Fever78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Indiana Fever69c76.11$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4714148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5184…d17abacked Indiana Fever79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Indiana Fever74c69.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.072744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed Los Angeles Sparks29c65.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Los Angeles Sparks28c56.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613422.4%30 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Los Angeles Sparks29c52.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.127045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Los Angeles Sparks29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%6 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Sparks30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Los Angeles Sparks29c43.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b16…f3febacked Indiana Fever72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Los Angeles Sparks29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc131…1a8abacked Los Angeles Sparks30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810335.9%37 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Los Angeles Sparks30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Los Angeles Sparks30c39.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.813745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea0…8849backed Indiana Fever70c39.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Los Angeles Sparks29c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks30c36.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7561547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Indiana Fever71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3315938.4%61 W · 98 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4da…cf3bbacked Indiana Fever71c30.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccf…ef8abacked Indiana Fever71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174763.8%30 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b9…664bbacked Indiana Fever78c27.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1759…3a55backed Los Angeles Sparks50c27.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f87…0d97backed Indiana Fever50c27.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88cb…d3a2backed Indiana Fever80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f00…c907backed Los Angeles Sparks50c24.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fae…4ea2backed Indiana Fever50c24.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde37…dbcfbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4690…7420backed Indiana Fever50c23.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…268fbacked Indiana Fever70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0243…b5a5backed Indiana Fever71c21.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Indiana Fever71c18.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.374961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Indiana Fever71c17.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Indiana Fever72c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.31475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb1…e1d6backed Indiana Fever73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Indiana Fever76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.64047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5604…912bbacked Indiana Fever70c14.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.