WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8632ca7ef6578b9bcb0efa307b3b8cd63b049d158bcf450bc3d49ba1a21c3944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Over | 64c | 14,853$9,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 4,773$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.96 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 61c | 3,156$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.07 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 39c | 2,038$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 1,516$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 783.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.05 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…3104backed Under | 25c | 555.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 27c | 542$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 48c | 483.71$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 10c | 442$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 6c | 307.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Under | 48c | 295.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 49c | 272.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 25c | 252$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 10c | 247$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…b45abacked Over | 50c | 208.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 10c | 166.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…82cfbacked Under | 45c | 148.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 47c | 130.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 13c | 100.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 22c | 100.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 92.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 76c | 79.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 49c | 67.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 24c | 55.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 45.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 49c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.