WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40f10ac8ffee96bba6a5226a97f4731ce93cf26eb0a0ec18dc3a93e84cd2dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 43c | 200,232$86,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,098.34 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 57c | 145,474$82,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,554.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 57c | 54,119$30,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,271.96 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 4,240$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.78 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 4,042$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.92 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Over | 50c | 2,983$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 2,682$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.91 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Under | 50c | 2,026$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 1,105$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.76 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 1,048$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 957$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.36 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 51c | 945.71$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 688.42$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 565$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 75c | 499.67$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 50c | 350.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 220.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 43c | 205.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 26c | 200.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 76c | 197$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 62c | 184.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 57c | 155.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 34c | 145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 77c | 97.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 42c | 92.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 50c | 92.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 23c | 86.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…87a6backed Under | 44c | 85.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 37c | 70.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Over | 57c | 52.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 76c | 52.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 58c | 40.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 58c | 38.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 71c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 57c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 22.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 71c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 60c | 17.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 78c | 13.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.