WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab226c98d1842b1a86628aedf89f23e8f031797ffeb6752a9d9aa09fce813e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 1,171$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 909.56$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 691.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.71 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 12c | 685$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 65c | 584.91$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Fever | 59c | 435.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Los Angeles Sparks | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 358.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Los Angeles Sparks | 12c | 345$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 284$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 166$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever | 56c | 128$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Indiana Fever | 59c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Indiana Fever | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Sparks | 38c | 87.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Los Angeles Sparks | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 41.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever | 61c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Indiana Fever | 64c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.