WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ab87915afd9eac15e307326201b5f197427c30f7660f185ec6fbdeb0d64396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 4,635$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.8 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 4,366$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.6 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 3,614$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.15 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 2,730$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 2,278$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.06 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 2,005$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.27 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 1,263$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.07 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.16 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 880.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.53 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 676.75$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.07 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 647.54$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 529$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 491.84$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.08 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 450.66$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 390.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 386.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Indiana Fever | 62c | 184.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Indiana Fever | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 74.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 73.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 33.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 26.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.