TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed No19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9503941%16 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes62c4,078$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.243644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes75c3,067$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.92,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c2,478$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.545,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No19c2,028$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.227037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.089145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No19c1,909$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7319340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c1,798$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.141,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No22c1,184$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.952,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No3c1,078$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.344330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c881.38$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.581,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No20c860.14$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6170842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cb…d3a2backed Yes47c677.11$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes65c562.43$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.851,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c544.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1196846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked No44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No4c450$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No32c400.75$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.421,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No37c399.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2417151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No10c396.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7314646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes64c297.06$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.76349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c290.17$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.561,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed Yes79c281.65$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c281.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0439649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No19c253.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14254.8%23 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No36c249.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4940550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No38c231.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8938849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c228.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.322,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No44c221.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.417058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x212d…5023backed No50c193.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No37c188.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1524061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes76c187$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.817357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No37c186.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4223859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No37c183.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7519261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No45c175$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.752250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No39c165.84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3282842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed No19c165.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292878.6%22 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.28per pick51cpaid+54.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Yes61c161.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb429…f892backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No27c139.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4834847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.364528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No37c131.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.481,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Yes77c129.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No40c121.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5614948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa12d…5a58backed Yes58c113.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes73c112.85$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.473834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6814440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed No17c98.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes59c98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.575238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No16c97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No23c97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.312330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes57c84.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.221752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes66c83.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1111861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed No36c81.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.743375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes61c72.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2874739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes59c67.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Yes62c66.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes64c64.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3711141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Yes57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x918a…03c8backed Yes66c60.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.841266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes50c60.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No40c57.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0431960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No36c55.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%22 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes50c55.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6725155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No39c55.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.772250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No34c54.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.753148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed No40c50.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.13473.5%25 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d6…664fbacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe117…1b4bbacked Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e8…5394backed Yes57c47.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No26c42.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2524448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes55c40.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No43c38.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.576368.3%43 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce32…c4cbbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No36c36.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0710960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes65c36.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.714238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ef…eb67backed Yes55c36.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No36c34.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.798941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes62c29.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6db…f4adbacked No39c28.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd691…fcc6backed Yes57c28.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No40c27.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.184040%16 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No37c27.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2711145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes58c26.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.162556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.