Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c0fdbd5e5fbcd21bb06112c5b39bea4c86250c5b939b80205c004e1e954b789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 21c | 2,294$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.64 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 1,399$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 1,057$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 756.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 669.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 554.22$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 404.28$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 17c | 401.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 214.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 119.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 16c | 107.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 15c | 106.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 17c | 93.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 81.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 52.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 36.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 78c | 31.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.