MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb9c16bc6dd1693f3ef4d09122e9351b1073ff4fe6108148fb15b758f8c03ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof NC Dinos, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed NC Dinos | 28c | 720.43$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 47c | 592.54$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked NC Dinos | 54c | 545.81$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.07 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 430.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 415.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed NC Dinos | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 339$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 305.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 284.29$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 263.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 250.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 233.8$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 23c | 208.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed NC Dinos | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed NC Dinos | 29c | 170.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 158.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 157.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed NC Dinos | 27c | 150.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 28c | 140.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed NC Dinos | 31c | 132.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 118.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…ae34backed NC Dinos | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Samsung Lions | 22c | 91.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NC Dinos | 26c | 79.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Samsung Lions | 19c | 72.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 66.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 63.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 56.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked NC Dinos | 29c | 46.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 44.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 78c | 42.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed NC Dinos | 28c | 42.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…36dfbacked NC Dinos | 29c | 41.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked NC Dinos | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 54c | 38.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Samsung Lions | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 35.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc872…2e4ebacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NC Dinos | 73c | 27.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…ff03backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…6409backed NC Dinos | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d5…cf99backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 23.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…f125backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…8b05backed NC Dinos | 50c | 20.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…6f00backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0d58backed NC Dinos | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 15.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 94 | 73.4%69 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.