Euroleague · resolved market
Bilbao Basket vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176eb06bbdbe3a53885a2ddd390c12c8975c917cc2fedfd164606e374008a52b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Bilbao Basket, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Bilbao Basket | 19c | 1,828$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bilbao Basket | 5c | 1,407$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Bilbao Basket | 29c | 993.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Valencia | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 74c | 732.91$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Bilbao Basket | 32c | 699.8$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…c034backed Valencia | 71c | 574.32$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Bilbao Basket | 32c | 519.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Bilbao Basket | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Valencia | 73c | 408.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Bilbao Basket | 30c | 384.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Valencia | 68c | 338.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Bilbao Basket | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Bilbao Basket | 30c | 306.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valencia | 75c | 301.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bilbao Basket | 30c | 263.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Valencia | 67c | 167.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Valencia | 72c | 127$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valencia | 72c | 118.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Bilbao Basket | 16c | 103.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valencia | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Valencia | 69c | 85.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…acbbbacked Bilbao Basket | 32c | 81.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bilbao Basket | 25c | 79.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Valencia | 71c | 67.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Valencia | 68c | 66.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Valencia | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Valencia | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Valencia | 68c | 39.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Valencia | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Valencia | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Bilbao Basket | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…2f2abacked Valencia | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Valencia | 68c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Valencia | 68c | 25.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Valencia | 78c | 24.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Valencia | 68c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Valencia | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Valencia | 67c | 21.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Valencia | 68c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Valencia | 69c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Valencia | 70c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7400…c5ccbacked Valencia | 68c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Valencia | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bilbao Basket vs. Valenciathis page
- Bilbao Basket vs. Valencia: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Valencia (-5.5)Valencia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.