Euroleague · resolved market
Spread: Valencia (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae0507eafd50e0fa5922ef1cfb7c9dadc4d9439e67289fb7a661719a0f231e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Bilbao Basket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Valencia | 59c | 1,015$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bilbao Basket | 45c | 854.43$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.94 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bilbao Basket | 40c | 711.01$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Valencia | 49c | 596.88$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 499.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bilbao Basket | 47c | 243.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bilbao Basket | 49c | 150.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Valencia | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Valencia | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Valencia | 51c | 45.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Bilbao Basket | 45c | 42.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Valencia | 51c | 39.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Bilbao Basket | 45c | 28.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 27.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Bilbao Basket | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Valencia (-5.5)this page
- Bilbao Basket vs. ValenciaValencia won
- Bilbao Basket vs. Valencia: O/U 174.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.