MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6860a65f5f07b68bce8550c387390e7033bac17d96747574074ff5990d2edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 202,000$115,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,979.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 43c | 78,595$33,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,799.11 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 43c | 51,188$22,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,961.78 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Giants | 72c | 48,292$34,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,624.06 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 47,103$26,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,800.26 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 43c | 41,581$18,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,533.64 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Giants | 43c | 40,911$17,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,330.18 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 25,793$7,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,851.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 43c | 23,840$10,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,589.02 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 20,213$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.22 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 58c | 20,063$11,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,367.35 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Giants | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 42c | 13,240$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,629.31 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 13,175$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 10,121$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 23c | 8,807$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Giants | 72c | 6,424$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.27 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Giants | 43c | 4,100$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.87 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,854$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 3,728$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.7 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 65c | 3,701$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.62 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants | 73c | 3,019$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.96 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Giants | 67c | 2,698$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,504$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,414$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Giants | 42c | 2,306$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.56 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Giants | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Giants | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,956$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.71 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Giants | 43c | 1,812$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.03 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Giants | 43c | 1,785$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.45 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 42c | 1,647$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.12 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Giants | 55c | 1,568$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,411$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.05 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,383$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 42c | 1,366$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 65c | 1,248$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.77 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…9e96backed Giants | 57c | 1,068$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Giants | 55c | 1,011$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.4 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 21c | 939.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Giants | 70c | 925.71$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.71 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 897$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.48 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Giants | 68c | 667.09$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Giants | 77c | 662.55$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants | 63c | 630.76$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Giants | 71c | 619.49$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 572.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 5c | 549.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 538.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 42c | 517$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.86 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Giants | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Giants | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 466.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 442$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Diamondbacks | 22c | 422.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 409.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Giants | 42c | 408.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Giants | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Giants | 43c | 394.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Giants | 66c | 381.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Giants | 43c | 375$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants | 66c | 363.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Giants | 68c | 355.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed Giants | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Giants | 45c | 320.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Giants | 43c | 320$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Giants | 80c | 313.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 306.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 306.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 305.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Giants | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 46c | 299.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 289.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 283.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 261.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 27c | 249.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 30c | 245.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Giants | 42c | 238.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Giants | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Giants | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Giants | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Giants | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 21c | 218.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Giants | 43c | 205.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 189.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 183.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Giants | 63c | 178.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 172.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…f4b5backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 171.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Giants | 44c | 162$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.