MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1224630052a73096739f63d0991707dc2be25495a52ec2adbc8bb3c7a83038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Red Sox, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Red Sox | 18c | 300,000$52,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,860.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Cubs | 80c | 52,068$41,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,413.6 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 78c | 48,085$37,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 66c | 31,388$20,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,562.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 76c | 29,761$22,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Red Sox | 43c | 20,583$8,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,833.17 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Red Sox | 45c | 20,469$9,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,211.07 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 56c | 19,489$10,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.99 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 74c | 16,340$12,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248.29 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 44c | 13,448$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.83 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Cubs | 55c | 13,280$7,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.16 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Sox | 47c | 12,802$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.56 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Red Sox | 17c | 12,025$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cubs | 56c | 10,639$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.48 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Cubs | 56c | 10,321$5,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.11 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Cubs | 56c | 9,110$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.62 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Cubs | 80c | 7,783$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.83 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Cubs | 57c | 7,703$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 10c | 7,229$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cubs | 57c | 6,831$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.91 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 54c | 5,810$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.52 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 44c | 5,423$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Red Sox | 44c | 5,249$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.69 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Cubs | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 40c | 4,009$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 67c | 3,872$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.87 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 45c | 3,702$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.9 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 45c | 3,500$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Red Sox | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Red Sox | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Red Sox | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Cubs | 73c | 2,921$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 54c | 2,774$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.04 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cubs | 56c | 2,666$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.04 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 56c | 2,523$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.12 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 76c | 2,300$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.93 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Sox | 44c | 2,211$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.84 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 75c | 2,008$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.61 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Red Sox | 16c | 1,949$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.01 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Cubs | 72c | 1,859$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cubs | 70c | 1,829$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.42 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Red Sox | 24c | 1,793$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.09 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,707$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Red Sox | 38c | 1,696$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.2 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…696fbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,571$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…79b3backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…5f95backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 47c | 1,474$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 55c | 1,453$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.88 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…1f78backed Cubs | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 78c | 1,270$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Red Sox | 13c | 1,161$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Red Sox | 12c | 1,155$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.64 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Cubs | 55c | 984.49$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 43c | 977$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.11 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 26c | 914.89$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 57c | 817.54$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.54 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cubs | 76c | 795.71$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cubs | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Red Sox | 46c | 675.03$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.82 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Red Sox | 44c | 668.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 78c | 659.63$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…d0e7backed Cubs | 68c | 652.9$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Red Sox | 45c | 648.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Red Sox | 22c | 600$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Red Sox | 45c | 596.62$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Cubs | 57c | 596.49$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Red Sox | 45c | 531.04$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Cubs | 57c | 514.29$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Cubs | 56c | 447$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Red Sox | 45c | 413.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cubs | 57c | 399.81$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Sox | 43c | 383.12$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Red Sox | 41c | 370.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Red Sox | 44c | 369$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 45c | 364.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Cubs | 54c | 354.24$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Sox | 3c | 335.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Red Sox | 41c | 335.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 53c | 327.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…7286backed Cubs | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Red Sox | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Red Sox | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Red Sox | 44c | 299.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Cubs | 56c | 298.43$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Red Sox | 44c | 278$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Red Sox | 18c | 276$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cubs | 57c | 262.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Cubs | 74c | 247.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.