NHL · resolved market
Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb71ee008203a7dd14e5f7cd77a98fc99208b148d654971568f950cc29f0bc969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Yes | 51c | 21,299$10,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,862.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 49c | 15,939$7,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,117.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Yes | 51c | 14,774$7,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,552.48 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 49c | 11,633$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 53c | 11,448$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 49c | 9,944$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.71 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 48c | 9,484$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.45 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…0c37backed No | 51c | 8,258$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 52c | 7,582$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Yes | 51c | 6,294$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 50c | 4,964$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 4,753$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 50c | 4,346$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.79 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…fe03backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 47c | 3,781$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.63 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…9c05backed Yes | 52c | 3,675$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 47c | 2,810$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.59 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Yes | 51c | 2,600$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 50c | 2,590$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.59 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 50c | 2,267$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.44 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 57c | 2,113$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.61 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed No | 48c | 2,072$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…8bc2backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 52c | 1,740$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.15 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc5…48a5backed Yes | 49c | 1,703$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 50c | 1,501$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.25 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 50c | 1,327$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.27 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,242$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.71 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 61c | 1,125$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.85 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a1…daa5backed No | 51c | 1,079$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 43c | 1,061$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…fe11backed Yes | 61c | 937$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 72c | 855.86$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 16c | 830$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Yes | 51c | 789.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 54c | 718.93$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 50c | 609.11$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…1223backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes | 55c | 542.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22d…ce8abacked Yes | 57c | 477$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Yes | 46c | 445.62$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…af9ebacked Yes | 51c | 430.39$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 408.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 405.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…a5c2backed Yes | 51c | 350.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked Yes | 42c | 340.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…93c7backed Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 47c | 248.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 41c | 244.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94af…aa4bbacked Yes | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589c…e3e6backed No | 40c | 227.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked No | 52c | 221.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b4…1d18backed Yes | 54c | 214.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 36c | 205$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…1ddabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…c0a3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…6feebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…e874backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…4536backed Yes | 50c | 148.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 146$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…a47bbacked No | 51c | 136.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…7064backed No | 50c | 131.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…5510backed Yes | 62c | 130.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…6244backed Yes | 50c | 127.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…a83fbacked Yes | 51c | 122.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…73acbacked No | 51c | 121.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 36c | 121.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 44c | 117$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…abb9backed Yes | 51c | 114.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…2a8bbacked Yes | 50c | 109.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…670abacked No | 50c | 108.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…bbd6backed Yes | 53c | 104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…5e5bbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 100.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…cee0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?this page
- Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?Yes won
- Will Finland win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?No won
- Will Sweden win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.