MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x336ed36667da50edab71d7b4235fb9b5dc30972d277731def6edec230c5ea85b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $634,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Padres | 55c | 466,934$255,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,141.83 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 200,607$91,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,547.8 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 119,850$53,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,917.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 50,853$23,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,760.59 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 34,552$22,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.75 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 20,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 14,873$6,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 7,338$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.46 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 7,239$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 14c | 5,851$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 53c | 5,312$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.46 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 5,312$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,220$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,409$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,400$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 4,110$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.89 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,607$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.53 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,446$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.96 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 20c | 3,387$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,226$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,788$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,108$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.44 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,080$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.94 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Padres | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,876$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 1,797$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.02 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 59c | 1,776$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.62 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 6c | 1,701$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,620$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Padres | 54c | 1,200$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Padres | 15c | 1,019$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 930$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 55c | 909.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Padres | 52c | 899.98$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 896.37$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 868.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.05 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Padres | 53c | 764.72$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 53c | 710$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.3 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 706.66$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.73 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 705$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 21c | 690$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 12c | 590$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 55c | 545.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 38c | 537.73$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.21 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Padres | 53c | 509.19$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.87 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 495.33$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 14c | 485.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 481.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.9 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 64c | 471.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 462.22$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.22 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 430.27$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 413.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.76 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 400$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 20c | 389.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 328.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.26 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…49f7backed Padres | 59c | 323.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 319.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Padres | 8c | 312.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 292.53$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 53c | 281.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Padres | 52c | 252.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 226.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Padres | 45c | 225.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Padres | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Padres | 53c | 189.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 158.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 147.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 24c | 136.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Padres | 16c | 124.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Padres | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 118$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Padres | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Padres | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…c308backed Padres | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Padres | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 89.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 88.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.