MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780f8f763d17e47fbc016eb667e4cb5a68c58823c712df9fbe34828d760f947f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,237,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,248,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,237,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Giants | 48c | 873,229$419,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454,079.81 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 52c | 125,199$65,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,103.29 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics | 52c | 108,963$56,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,360.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 52c | 80,968$42,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,103.52 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 52c | 73,388$38,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,161.51 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 8c | 68,754$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.18 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Athletics | 50c | 64,935$32,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,151.46 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 52c | 63,903$33,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,055.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Athletics | 52c | 56,191$29,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,219.52 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 52c | 51,198$26,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,625 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Athletics | 52c | 48,000$24,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,959.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 31c | 40,867$12,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,692.93 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics | 52c | 38,075$19,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,799.14 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 20c | 36,931$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 29c | 36,595$10,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,704.12 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Athletics | 23c | 29,539$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics | 52c | 25,455$13,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,236.6 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 52c | 19,926$10,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,361.32 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 52c | 15,929$8,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,282.84 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 52c | 15,278$7,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.52 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Giants | 60c | 13,554$8,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,437.55 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 41c | 12,644$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 52c | 11,010$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.2 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Athletics | 52c | 10,232$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.89 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Athletics | 53c | 8,623$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.4 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 52c | 6,675$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 63c | 6,500$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.02 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Athletics | 22c | 6,011$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.77 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 49c | 5,647$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.94 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 52c | 5,200$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Giants | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics | 43c | 4,961$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.18 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 52c | 4,701$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics | 51c | 4,400$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.91 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Athletics | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 52c | 3,300$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…e578backed Giants | 48c | 3,194$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Athletics | 11c | 3,128$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 41c | 3,103$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 54c | 2,785$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.15 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Giants | 75c | 2,561$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.03 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Athletics | 11c | 2,348$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.41 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Athletics | 1c | 2,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Athletics | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Athletics | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Athletics | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 52c | 1,943$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.42 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Athletics | 52c | 1,834$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.68 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants | 67c | 1,806$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.33 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Giants | 49c | 1,780$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.91 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Giants | 47c | 1,758$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.53 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Athletics | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Athletics | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Giants | 49c | 1,435$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.69 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Athletics | 52c | 1,316$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.35 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…943abacked Athletics | 51c | 1,290$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd9…3dabbacked Giants | 49c | 1,290$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Giants | 75c | 1,226$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.41 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…198fbacked Giants | 49c | 1,221$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 2c | 1,212$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 1c | 1,153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 51c | 1,071$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.43 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Giants | 49c | 1,041$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 28c | 1,025$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.65 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Giants | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Giants | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Giants | 49c | 905.06$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.58 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Athletics | 52c | 783.73$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.54 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 51c | 712.96$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 58c | 691.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 39c | 690$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Athletics | 8c | 664.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Giants | 49c | 644.9$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.9 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 21c | 617.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Giants | 65c | 613.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Athletics | 50c | 605.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Athletics | 52c | 593.66$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants | 51c | 586.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Giants | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Athletics | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Athletics | 37c | 537.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Athletics | 14c | 534.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Athletics | 47c | 533.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Athletics | 16c | 515.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Giants | 65c | 509.94$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Giants | 49c | 506.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Athletics | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Athletics | 52c | 481.15$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 60c | 467.77$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.43 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Athletics | 52c | 454.28$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Giants | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Giants | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Giants | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Athletics | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.