Us Midterms · resolved market
Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f41292bea56c1a5671306d4285d1912af1a23e62bae6e58e6c0dc517cc98d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5696…9df8backed No | 18c | 12,140$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.76 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdabb…10a7backed No | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 76c | 9,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…76bfbacked No | 24c | 8,892$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 20c | 6,459$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.51 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…01c0backed No | 23c | 4,438$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…eb9ebacked No | 18c | 3,832$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed No | 17c | 3,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed No | 9c | 3,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 19c | 2,904$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.2 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…b8bebacked No | 18c | 2,139$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 19c | 2,045$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed No | 18c | 1,931$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 13c | 1,800$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…3868backed No | 17c | 1,659$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac0…041fbacked No | 17c | 1,652$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed No | 16c | 1,531$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.34 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…fe84backed Yes | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…3683backed No | 17c | 1,325$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…d787backed No | 18c | 1,090$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc873…2ff4backed No | 19c | 1,056$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 16c | 1,050$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…a2c6backed No | 22c | 1,010$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4949backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…2548backed No | 21c | 999.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked No | 17c | 962.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 80c | 943.2$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked No | 17c | 876.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 866.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 78c | 670.38$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…c83ebacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…be16backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 80c | 588.02$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 80c | 543.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…4699backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…8b56backed No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…abdcbacked No | 22c | 457.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed No | 18c | 440$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 16c | 427$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ac77backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…78b8backed No | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…d8a1backed No | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…3b2ebacked No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…fc56backed No | 19c | 290$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked Yes | 79c | 259.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…60d2backed No | 20c | 247.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed No | 19c | 244.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…61febacked No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…9973backed No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…690ebacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…a909backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…dd95backed No | 16c | 178.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed No | 18c | 176.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe787…65d4backed Yes | 80c | 167.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65f…24c8backed No | 17c | 162$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…aadcbacked No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…e750backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…6aa9backed No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…d104backed No | 19c | 116.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 13c | 114.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…fc63backed No | 19c | 101.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6d2fbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…7a40backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…c17fbacked Yes | 80c | 85.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…6637backed No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 15c | 79.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…52d9backed No | 21c | 72.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a83bbacked No | 16c | 63.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…7901backed No | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…3f0dbacked No | 20c | 53.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…cb47backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59d…2ddabacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b99bbacked Yes | 80c | 23.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…1ab8backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…f7ddbacked Yes | 79c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…8c59backed Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?this page
- Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?No won
- Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.