WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29438c4e0773d7bc73a3e463e0ffd20f16a21a50a1db53582752048dc78e6cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Mystics, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Mystics | 36c | 11,700$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 32c | 11,634$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.41 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Fever | 69c | 10,630$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fever | 68c | 7,071$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.55 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Fever | 72c | 6,139$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 34c | 3,925$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.39 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 64c | 3,862$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.41 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fever | 67c | 3,410$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.14 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 35c | 3,050$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mystics | 34c | 2,580$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.11 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mystics | 33c | 2,377$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.38 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever | 67c | 1,726$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.12 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Fever | 64c | 1,389$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fever | 55c | 1,190$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.6 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fever | 67c | 1,136$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.47 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Fever | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fever | 62c | 654.49$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Fever | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Mystics | 38c | 531.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Mystics | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Mystics | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 63c | 379$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.02 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Fever | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Fever | 68c | 207.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Mystics | 34c | 205.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fever | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Mystics | 34c | 192.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Fever | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Fever | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Fever | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Mystics | 32c | 102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Mystics | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mystics | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…3450backed Fever | 68c | 88.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Fever | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Mystics | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Fever | 63c | 51.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Fever | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Mystics | 37c | 42.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Fever | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Fever | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Fever | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Fever | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Fever | 68c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.