MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c5f9bd2e33eb55f86f4464fea72def966c66b1fc0fb72b5384ea338cc52015d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Guardians, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Sox | 57c | 57,045$32,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,529.34 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Guardians | 43c | 20,763$8,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,928.09 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Guardians | 43c | 15,116$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Guardians | 42c | 12,280$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.65 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 43c | 7,238$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.77 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 59c | 5,015$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.19 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Red Sox | 58c | 4,200$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 34c | 2,943$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 34c | 2,744$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 63c | 2,516$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 43c | 2,434$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Guardians | 43c | 1,950$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Guardians | 43c | 1,233$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…babebacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,056$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef3…f121backed Guardians | 43c | 1,053$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Guardians | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,044$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Guardians | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 45c | 943.08$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.57 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 49c | 869.08$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.16 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 43c | 820.79$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Red Sox | 58c | 799.34$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.72 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Red Sox | 61c | 738.03$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guardians | 50c | 613.44$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox | 65c | 529.35$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Red Sox | 58c | 527.59$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.59 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Red Sox | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Guardians | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 58c | 491.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 53c | 440$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 57c | 428.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 24c | 424.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 55c | 400.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 59c | 400$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 58c | 346$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Red Sox | 73c | 342.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 60c | 288.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…5ae8backed Guardians | 53c | 282.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Red Sox | 60c | 274.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 76c | 267.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Red Sox | 65c | 265$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 242.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Guardians | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 76c | 232.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Red Sox | 58c | 214.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 58c | 181.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Guardians | 43c | 169.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Guardians | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 42c | 159.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 44c | 151.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Red Sox | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guardians | 13c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Red Sox | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Guardians | 43c | 113.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Guardians | 14c | 110.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 61c | 105.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Red Sox | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 43c | 104.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Red Sox | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 101.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Guardians | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Guardians | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Red Sox | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Red Sox | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Red Sox | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Red Sox | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Guardians | 43c | 99.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Red Sox | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Guardians | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…b27fbacked Red Sox | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Red Sox | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Guardians | 17c | 79.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 55c | 74.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Red Sox | 58c | 63.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Guardians | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Guardians | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Guardians | 43c | 55.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Red Sox | 77c | 55.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…b6e6backed Red Sox | 58c | 52.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Red Sox | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Guardians | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Guardians | 43c | 46.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Guardians | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Red Soxthis page
- Guardians vs. Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.