College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a5549d382cb3175dae10aa49057ff803fdd59c50d7812d599cbe9020d2d6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Texas, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 1,733$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.49 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas | 46c | 1,060$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Texas | 48c | 630$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Florida Gators | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Texas | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Texas | 46c | 486.8$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Florida Gators | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Florida Gators | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Texas | 49c | 100.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Texas | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Texas | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Florida Gators | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Texas | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Florida Gators | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Texas | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas (-5.5)this page
- O/U 42.5Over won
- Spread: Texas (-6.5)Florida Gators won
- Texas vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.