TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b3d…7422backed Wild47c106,400$50,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,39214057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Blues53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,00016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues26c60,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild77c14,530$11,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.8192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Wild46c13,253$6,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,156.6244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blues55c9,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wild45c8,680$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,773.879242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild75c6,911$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.141,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Blues0c5,790$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.741895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blues54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9489547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Blues53c4,160$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.838844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Wild48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.33887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+83.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blues3c3,147$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd32…c9c1backed Blues54c2,568$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Wild46c2,184$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.914242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Blues55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Wild46c2,159$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.8628353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75af…503dbacked Wild47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues53c1,459$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.2757453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues53c1,350$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Wild79c1,303$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9440550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues52c1,144$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues53c1,088$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…e606backed Wild47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blues53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Blues53c762.26$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Blues53c655.51$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4234845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Wild46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3245040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Wild46c589.47$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.312835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Wild47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild46c538.01$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.531,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild45c515.27$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb02f…0673backed Wild47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Blues53c499.99$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.495240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Wild46c499.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9830447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues53c483.72$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Blues9c464$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4611435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Blues3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c24…8c06backed Blues23c428.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Wild47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5312844.5%57 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Wild47c421.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.113952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Wild60c419.48$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.664753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Blues53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Blues54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild62c365.48$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.352172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a77…54d7backed Blues56c359.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild65c333.77$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.281,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Blues53c301.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blues53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15975946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Wild47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15936652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Wild46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Wild46c294.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0324949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Wild46c286.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.966046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues54c275.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.413,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Wild46c269.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5714148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild44c259.46$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Wild47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.322030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Wild45c249.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4674951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild46c248$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.921,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Wild47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Blues53c162.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.25950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Wild47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.976450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacb…a28fbacked Wild46c109.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11cd…c12bbacked Wild47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Wild48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5226136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Wild46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Wild46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5443944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Blues53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x586c…c8fdbacked Blues54c99.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff7…87a4backed Blues55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild46c69.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Wild46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2222051.4%113 W · 107 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Blues54c64.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Wild46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.469142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8b…c94dbacked Wild47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-59.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blues22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…2f4abacked Wild80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Blues53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.54751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Wild47c48.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.847638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2968…e0c4backed Blues55c44.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Blues53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Wild46c33.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.892152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a0…e197backed Wild47c31.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee99…b0aebacked Wild46c21.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5304…10a4backed Wild65c21.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Blues54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.