TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Rangers, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$750,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x343d…456ebacked Padres50c421,639$212,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,385.153360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers50c165,165$81,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,933.8586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Rangers49c140,000$68,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,599.956642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rangers49c79,950$39,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,175.535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Rangers46c55,841$25,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,592.3615353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00038047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers51c39,212$19,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,998.231,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Padres51c18,409$9,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,090.6815745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Rangers49c15,188$7,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,493.981752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Padres54c11,421$6,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,281.324047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Padres56c10,884$6,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,822.1660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…bd1ebacked Rangers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers44c8,363$3,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.542,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rangers49c7,585$3,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,715.7814747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers51c6,730$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.1926949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers51c6,460$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.581,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers51c5,933$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.772,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rangers51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Padres51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Padres63c4,222$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5723464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Padres51c4,055$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9937446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers49c3,900$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,91145248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers51c3,321$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.141,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Padres51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1824154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rangers1c2,907$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0747348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Rangers40c2,724$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.2226847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Padres50c2,715$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.3418748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers46c2,709$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.861,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Padres37c2,685$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.9233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers51c2,536$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.971,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…398cbacked Rangers37c2,482$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.695429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rangers49c2,400$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.9826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Padres63c2,196$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.7553448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Padres57c2,021$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.413946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Padres56c2,000$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Padres50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers42c1,890$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Padres36c1,472$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.6618155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Padres49c1,392$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.0495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Padres79c1,371$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.8696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rangers48c1,362$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.8150852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Rangers38c1,192$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.618641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Rangers46c1,179$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5373253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e98…0ab2backed Padres54c1,178$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.392060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Padres50c1,152$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.8714444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Rangers40c1,026$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.7213138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeec7…08c6backed Padres50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.43053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Padres49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Rangers71c999.99$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Padres48c999.66$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.8311040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Padres31c996.17$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.814146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres42c941.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8639436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Padres51c926.45$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0316157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers50c904.92$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers46c882$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6232042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Padres50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers29c790$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.140547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…0cc5backed Rangers50c709.97$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.024231%13 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Rangers45c669.95$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.051827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Padres51c607.43$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Padres49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3067650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers51c553.55$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Padres50c543.59$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.85764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Rangers40c543.47$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.236046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Rangers50c503.36$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6812640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c50…b113backed Padres51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Padres51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24514050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…2bbebacked Rangers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Padres49c443.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3717754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers15c418.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.324754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Padres50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Padres50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20224248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Padres51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1680955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Rangers50c318.6$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.552828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed Padres51c313.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.856747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Rangers50c312$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1569332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers50c306.04$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.025,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Padres49c300.19$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres36c300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19318243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Rangers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Padres49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rangers50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14931145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…13d1backed Padres51c269.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.292657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers51c253$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.032,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Padres76c241.95$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.151,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Rangers45c239.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4427458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed Rangers68c233.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.696753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Padres60c232.77$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2880680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Padres45c228.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3452542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe164…340bbacked Padres51c211.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.763971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rangers49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4540548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Padres49c202.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d22…302abacked Padres50c200.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.081471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+68.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Rangers50c200.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0319849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.532,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b4…5c7cbacked Rangers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.