TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No51c62,930$31,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,905.1321853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes47c25,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,25031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c21,520$10,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,103.811,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No53c17,189$9,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1105947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes49c16,236$7,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,280.5630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No53c14,707$7,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.952661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Yes49c14,214$6,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.321770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes50c12,840$6,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4209636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes54c12,500$6,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7759845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x648c…f456backed No53c11,321$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb611…2b5dbacked No51c10,627$5,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,42010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c10,167$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.331,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No42c8,648$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.9256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No28c7,914$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.421,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No51c5,731$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.985271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes48c5,000$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5904847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No52c4,971$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5854052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes49c3,499$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.58842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked No51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c3,273$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.462,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No52c3,259$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.9210737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d6…29f7backed No32c3,152$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c83…3805backed No50c3,114$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee50…7446backed Yes50c3,108$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes49c2,851$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.8411945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c8d…f3acbacked No50c2,760$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…6ffbbacked Yes50c2,754$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206e…e75ebacked No53c2,453$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No51c2,300$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1713941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c2,260$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.976,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No50c2,000$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.742245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes50c1,848$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.069446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No3c1,746$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.956015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No51c1,624$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.12466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No49c1,620$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.218747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes51c1,505$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.5541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.968343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c1,441$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.524,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes47c1,398$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74124846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes50c1,387$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.5517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes47c1,202$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.119735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No51c1,132$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.65151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes48c1,094$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes49c1,071$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.673528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No51c1,030$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.414751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes50c1,008$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.0722125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No14c999.47$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9325836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes48c989.95$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.8816453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Yes50c923.34$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.67922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No56c893.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1434…bb9abacked Yes49c841.26$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.042365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.338145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4162857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…f117backed Yes48c790$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes70c766.34$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.913834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No51c729.99$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No51c694$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9410956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes69c648.55$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.055446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes49c638.36$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9526651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes48c589.58$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.587443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No50c501.92$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9614854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No49c492.8$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.472245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes42c435.71$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.715141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes48c412.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.417241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No50c410.14$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes49c408.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.335939%23 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1617748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010647.2%50 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No50c400$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4837036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe93a…23b7backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No53c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.163240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes50c388.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No35c384.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7140150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No53c379$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.878552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked No51c347.06$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes47c339.55$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9611628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes68c307.71$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.158662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844161%25 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15321839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.