Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04713d8f844c449e69a419c0fa9f50c425079d164856f1c9271b7bb4bd5e075a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 29c | 86,549$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 71c | 39,421$27,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,432.2 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.98 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 5,245$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 72c | 1,724$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.45 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 72c | 1,025$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 21c | 901.34$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 73c | 800.84$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.84 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 796.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 13c | 757.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 744.62$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 79c | 499.76$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 27c | 498.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 408.12$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 405.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 27c | 372.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 73c | 370.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 357.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 235.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 10c | 208.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 73c | 202$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 17c | 175.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 24c | 161.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 9c | 133$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 29c | 111.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 15c | 109.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff54…ccf0backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 62.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…d3f7backed No | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 28c | 53.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…e8aabacked Yes | 27c | 48.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 33c | 40.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 73c | 35.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a19…aa25backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 73c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.