Tennis · resolved market
Monza: Rei Sakamoto vs Roberto Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0723780952c9e7de731e30fafb4a553e729a1e1284a953af2f98db15362b5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rei Sakamotoof Rei Sakamoto, Roberto Carballes Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rei Sakamoto | 40c | 6,882$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.03 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 14c | 2,405$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.76 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 2,293$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.83 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Rei Sakamoto | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rei Sakamoto | 37c | 1,269$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.69 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 1,213$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.79 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Rei Sakamoto | 39c | 1,111$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 5c | 1,100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 930.68$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 25c | 845.73$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Rei Sakamoto | 76c | 789.11$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 21c | 632$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 604.86$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 41c | 589.88$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.07 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Rei Sakamoto | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Rei Sakamoto | 38c | 499.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.79 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Rei Sakamoto | 40c | 483.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.41 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 453.6$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 32c | 370.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rei Sakamoto | 68c | 338.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Rei Sakamoto | 37c | 331.8$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rei Sakamoto | 66c | 329.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 62c | 326.38$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 58c | 317$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 62c | 313.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rei Sakamoto | 38c | 299.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Rei Sakamoto | 39c | 289.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 260.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 38c | 251.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.89 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 62c | 219.43$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 62c | 217.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 215.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 11c | 181.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 167.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 62c | 156.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 156.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rei Sakamoto | 37c | 136.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 37c | 133.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Rei Sakamoto | 39c | 123.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 122.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 31c | 121.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 59c | 98.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Rei Sakamoto | 78c | 87.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 37c | 82.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 65c | 81.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 80.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Rei Sakamoto | 38c | 77.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…dc43backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 62c | 75.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 70.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…b79ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 69.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Rei Sakamoto | 38c | 68.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Rei Sakamoto | 40c | 67.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 67.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 32c | 66.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 65.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 65.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 62.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 62.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 62.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 61.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 60.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 53.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 52.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 51.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Rei Sakamoto | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 60c | 45.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Rei Sakamoto | 60c | 45.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 44.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 43.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Rei Sakamoto | 43c | 40.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monza: Rei Sakamoto vs Roberto Carballes Baenathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sakamoto vs BaenaSakamoto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.