South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc76a0cbc2111fd6cdb3d7b66c7afe037f5e58ab3a028403d04769f084204c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 2,105$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.14 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 77c | 828.59$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 7c | 800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 76c | 711.67$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 22c | 662.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 80c | 626.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 21c | 454.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 78c | 443.84$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 22c | 323.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 77c | 271.37$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 268.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 22c | 156$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 79c | 153.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…ef52backed No | 24c | 148.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 26c | 147$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 137.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 78c | 124.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 79c | 118.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 14c | 103.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 77c | 98.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 78c | 91.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 86.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 77c | 72.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…0c24backed Yes | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 26c | 53.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 79c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 79c | 18.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…ccb5backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will EC Bahia vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.