Lol · resolved market
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3112942580be1c864896e498292f228ff328b1b589e01c45ef59471470c405ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berlin International Gamingof Berlin International Gaming, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Orange Gaming | 1c | 6,559$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Orange Gaming | 22c | 5,620$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.4 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Berlin International Gaming | 79c | 4,000$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Orange Gaming | 16c | 1,665$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 569 | 32%182 W · 387 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Orange Gaming | 19c | 1,542$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.01 | 1,483 | 28.9%428 W · 1,055 L | +23.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Team Orange Gaming | 19c | 969.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Orange Gaming | 12c | 944.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 78c | 900.77$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 431 | 43.2%186 W · 245 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 811.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Berlin International Gaming | 76c | 804.3$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 499.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 613 | 43.6%267 W · 346 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Orange Gaming | 12c | 453$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 448.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Orange Gaming | 9c | 375.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 370.92$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Berlin International Gaming | 68c | 225$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Orange Gaming | 15c | 220.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1,733 | 29.4%510 W · 1,223 L | -124.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Team Orange Gaming | 20c | 179.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 221 | 36.7%81 W · 140 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 127$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Orange Gaming | 24c | 119$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 18c | 106.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1,237 | 48.1%595 W · 642 L | +25.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Berlin International Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 91.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Berlin International Gaming | 78c | 77.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2,926 | 38.4%1,125 W · 1,801 L | -122.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Team Orange Gaming | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 66.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 65.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked Berlin International Gaming | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -68%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Team Orange Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…0c24backed Berlin International Gaming | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Berlin International Gaming | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Berlin International Gaming | 69c | 43.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,469 | 43.3%636 W · 833 L | +107.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…f6dfbacked Berlin International Gaming | 80c | 41.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Berlin International Gaming | 67c | 35.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Berlin International Gaming | 78c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Team Orange Gaming (+1.5)Berlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.