TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Berlin International Gamingof Berlin International Gaming, Team Orange Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,407 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Orange Gaming0c11,318$20 inLost-$19.8289810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Orange Gaming31c6,376$1,965 inLost-$1,965.0934837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Berlin International Gaming33c2,435$800 inWon+$1,634.8966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Berlin International Gaming77c2,054$1,589 inWon+$465.062,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Berlin International Gaming66c1,662$1,089 inWon+$572.7626144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Berlin International Gaming35c999.99$354 inWon+$64686758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Orange Gaming51c751.37$382 inLost-$381.81,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Berlin International Gaming67c700$469 inWon+$2312,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Berlin International Gaming42c500$210 inWon+$29011950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Orange Gaming66c437.14$288 inLost-$288.482,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Team Orange Gaming72c429.43$309 inLost-$309.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Berlin International Gaming44c376.32$166 inWon+$210.7482161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Berlin International Gaming43c350$150 inWon+$199.558360.2%50 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Berlin International Gaming44c233.44$102 inWon+$131.1228361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Berlin International Gaming44c225.92$100 inWon+$125.9299747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming59c199.2$118 inLost-$117.662,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Berlin International Gaming24c127$31 inWon+$96.387869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Orange Gaming40c125$50 inLost-$49.851,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Berlin International Gaming77c122.61$94 inWon+$28.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87df…48f3backed Berlin International Gaming45c117.78$53 inWon+$64.785466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Berlin International Gaming78c83.63$65 inWon+$18.636262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Orange Gaming41c83$34 inLost-$34.1137345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Berlin International Gaming40c75$30 inWon+$451,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Orange Gaming48c69.31$34 inLost-$33.5469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Orange Gaming61c64.97$40 inLost-$39.7959952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Team Orange Gaming61c63.93$39 inLost-$3940959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Orange Gaming45c50.48$23 inLost-$22.882,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Team Orange Gaming24c50$12 inLost-$1243947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Berlin International Gaming78c50$39 inWon+$113158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Orange Gaming35c48$17 inLost-$16.731,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Team Orange Gaming54c47.93$26 inLost-$25.8516043.1%69 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Berlin International Gaming76c39.54$30 inWon+$9.5419251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed Team Orange Gaming67c34$23 inLost-$22.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Berlin International Gaming42c28.15$12 inWon+$16.417028.6%20 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.