TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Berlin International Gamingof Berlin International Gaming, Team Orange Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Orange Gaming31c4,242$1,332 inLost-$1,332.4734837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Berlin International Gaming78c2,829$2,196 inWon+$632.622,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Berlin International Gaming60c2,442$1,469 inWon+$973.0814644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Team Orange Gaming1c2,270$23 inLost-$237919%15 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Team Orange Gaming57c2,011$1,140 inLost-$1,14066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Berlin International Gaming75c1,317$992 inWon+$325.2928361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Berlin International Gaming63c767.78$480 inWon+$287.7848353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Berlin International Gaming65c700$455 inWon+$2452,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Berlin International Gaming60c664.92$398 inWon+$266.7326144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Orange Gaming46c465.55$215 inLost-$215.131,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Orange Gaming22c416.47$93 inLost-$92.569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Berlin International Gaming72c304$219 inWon+$85.122,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Orange Gaming44c296.04$130 inLost-$130.461,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Team Orange Gaming34c289.9$100 inLost-$10040237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Team Orange Gaming23c250$57 inLost-$5714936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming39c240$94 inLost-$94.462,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Berlin International Gaming46c110.92$51 inWon+$59.9280150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Orange Gaming34c102.98$35 inLost-$35.442,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Berlin International Gaming43c93.02$40 inWon+$53.021,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x217b…e069backed Team Orange Gaming23c78$18 inLost-$17.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Orange Gaming28c48$13 inLost-$13.441,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Berlin International Gaming76c39.22$30 inWon+$9.3459952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cda…08dbbacked Team Orange Gaming53c37.9$20 inLost-$203773%27 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x847d…2505backed Berlin International Gaming44c34.14$15 inWon+$19.122060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Berlin International Gaming45c33.44$15 inWon+$18.446262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Berlin International Gaming63c28$18 inWon+$10.42,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Berlin International Gaming76c26.4$20 inWon+$6.419251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Berlin International Gaming43c23.3$10 inWon+$13.2854944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Berlin International Gaming78c21.5$17 inWon+$4.7314067.9%95 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.