TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Pavel Kotov vs Filippo Romano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pavel Kotovof Pavel Kotov, Filippo Romano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,475 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Filippo Romano13c9,338$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.112,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Pavel Kotov77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3803366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Filippo Romano23c4,858$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.449744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Filippo Romano26c2,964$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75939431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Filippo Romano12c2,245$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5171725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Filippo Romano23c1,742$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6420336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Filippo Romano12c1,588$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.638,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Filippo Romano23c1,500$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34846932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pavel Kotov76c1,389$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.467,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pavel Kotov79c1,386$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.193,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Pavel Kotov77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7446473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Pavel Kotov78c1,290$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.868058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Pavel Kotov78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0512066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Filippo Romano3c1,106$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Filippo Romano25c1,100$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Filippo Romano14c1,056$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Filippo Romano12c999.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed Filippo Romano27c942.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508530.6%26 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pavel Kotov77c886$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Pavel Kotov75c872.45$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.553852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Filippo Romano24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Filippo Romano16c805.79$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.382,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Filippo Romano12c731.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8784736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Filippo Romano23c709.68$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4910835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Filippo Romano24c662.74$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9925234.1%86 W · 166 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Pavel Kotov76c660.26$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.681,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Filippo Romano23c654$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9337342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Filippo Romano8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Filippo Romano23c505.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3273…0c24backed Pavel Kotov76c437.6$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.022157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…68b0backed Pavel Kotov77c406.17$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.42366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0bb…fc0abacked Pavel Kotov77c390.4$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Pavel Kotov78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6241955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46aa…d886backed Pavel Kotov77c384.08$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.34540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Filippo Romano25c378.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9536333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Filippo Romano4c363.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.181,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe0…d377backed Pavel Kotov77c361.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.05757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa631…a9cabacked Pavel Kotov77c358.12$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Filippo Romano23c345$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Filippo Romano23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1812361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Pavel Kotov78c270.24$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.241,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pavel Kotov77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Pavel Kotov76c243.42$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pavel Kotov75c240$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.22,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pavel Kotov77c238.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9718548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Filippo Romano23c201.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.381,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Filippo Romano22c194.93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.887427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Filippo Romano10c169.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Filippo Romano18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pavel Kotov76c157.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.527,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Pavel Kotov77c154.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.874348.8%21 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Filippo Romano23c149.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Filippo Romano20c147.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.944,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pavel Kotov77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.92,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Pavel Kotov76c129.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Filippo Romano10c122$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4813456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Filippo Romano10c107.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14be…2de0backed Filippo Romano23c106.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.551553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Filippo Romano23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.397540%30 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Filippo Romano23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x547c…7983backed Pavel Kotov75c85.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Filippo Romano24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Filippo Romano23c74.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.053,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Filippo Romano18c70.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Filippo Romano20c67.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.291,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3a…eb2fbacked Filippo Romano16c64.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Pavel Kotov79c63.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1590854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Pavel Kotov77c40.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.443938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Pavel Kotov76c35.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5442358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43e…fecfbacked Pavel Kotov78c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.434944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Pavel Kotov75c31.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9610551.4%54 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Pavel Kotov76c25.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1315353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8247…4f13backed Pavel Kotov79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Pavel Kotov77c24.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.730452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Pavel Kotov72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Pavel Kotov78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a3…a636backed Pavel Kotov79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Pavel Kotov78c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9630349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Pavel Kotov76c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0890459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Pavel Kotov75c15.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9547653.2%253 W · 223 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Pavel Kotov77c14.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.424060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.