Tennis · resolved market
Kotov vs. Romano: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb201e6e776f53febcc57136040ad3123d1c169a0495dd74a630d69871381a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,581 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4958…a146backed Under | 49c | 7,378$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Under | 49c | 7,371$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Over | 51c | 4,754$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Under | 49c | 3,970$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Over | 51c | 3,862$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Over | 51c | 2,026$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Over | 51c | 2,025$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Over | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Over | 51c | 2,009$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Over | 51c | 1,948$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kotov vs. Romano: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Cherbourg: Pavel Kotov vs Filippo RomanoPavel Kotov won
- Pavel Kotov vs. Filippo Romano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.