Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf725a9b6179744c154243542f3ed572dbb8e6f84cf71c27160a94a796fb3c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 34c | 5,457$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.39 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 66c | 4,550$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 34c | 4,359$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.21 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 66c | 3,114$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 66c | 3,040$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.6 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 1,763$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.74 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 66c | 1,750$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 34c | 1,400$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 66c | 1,152$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Under | 33c | 1,014$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 988.81$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 67c | 928.42$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.38 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 67c | 685.07$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 75c | 633.05$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 24c | 582.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 66c | 561.11$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 367.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 219.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 201.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 35c | 199.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 34c | 184$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 35c | 142.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 74c | 119.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…678cbacked Over | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 69c | 113.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2711backed Under | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 32c | 80.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 66c | 69.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 35c | 65.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Over | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e74…4934backed Over | 66c | 54.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 50.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 79c | 47.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 66c | 46.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 34c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 66c | 44.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…f2d8backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 35c | 36.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…1aa6backed Under | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 33c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 68c | 26.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 66c | 23.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Over | 69c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.