TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over50c12,701$6,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,350.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under52c11,683$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,080.468354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over39c11,251$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,833.223348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c11,202$5,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,541.342,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under61c11,188$6,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,822.0998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under59c4,999$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.6320544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over39c2,650$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.54575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over46c2,561$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.2116838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c1,832$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under4c1,520$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under60c1,456$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.9340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over23c1,325$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.572254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under61c1,277$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.599350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under5c1,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+275%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under63c1,086$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6796357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under57c1,066$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.833243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick2cpaid+1,048.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under78c901.32$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c757.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.534247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.824254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.826043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Under9c460.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under61c409$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.493915.4%6 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over45c408$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4618858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over52c407.33$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.524553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c396.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9417058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over37c381$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over39c362.51$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1321650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c351.8$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2418055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over23c328.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over63c326.25$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.713852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under11c320$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over22c294.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.931618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over52c290.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.383847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over39c286.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.857237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Over42c261.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over41c260.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9915041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over39c256$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.162661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over43c254.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.452740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over38c249.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.911348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over40c215$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c204.62$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6819353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9670…6589backed Under10c172.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c169.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over59c168.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c162$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8113142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over67c149.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.854858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bc…75b4backed Over40c146$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over39c123.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.312875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over50c123.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.566956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under62c121.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8516340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over39c112.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.822445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.112835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over53c104.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over11c103.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.614936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.611550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6026747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c99.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over39c98.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.947848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over38c89.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.811349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over39c82.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.195028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under61c81.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…3ed5backed Under69c81.16$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under51c80.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.976245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.26349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over39c78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.643956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over38c68.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7142347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c71…22dbbacked Over38c65.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over41c64.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.933043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.18523.5%20 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over41c59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.819661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb550…8f5dbacked Over36c57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under70c56.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.617462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over31c54.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.028940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x257c…2d34backed Under60c54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2811955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.