Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b69198a9cfb01d32855a24546f516fa83109d120ff9d19be6f90e0365e62d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hellas Verona FCof SSC Napoli, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 9,000$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 6,220$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.38 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked SSC Napoli | 34c | 4,813$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed SSC Napoli | 32c | 4,207$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.45 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 3,080$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.93 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hellas Verona FC | 69c | 2,062$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.08 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e7f0backed SSC Napoli | 31c | 1,863$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Hellas Verona FC | 50c | 1,232$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 1,090$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.73 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked SSC Napoli | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SSC Napoli | 4c | 733.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SSC Napoli | 30c | 721.71$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSC Napoli | 31c | 624.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hellas Verona FC | 66c | 490.83$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 67c | 460$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SSC Napoli | 9c | 407.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed SSC Napoli | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked SSC Napoli | 32c | 374.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed SSC Napoli | 4c | 341.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed SSC Napoli | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked SSC Napoli | 4c | 268.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed SSC Napoli | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 207.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked SSC Napoli | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Hellas Verona FC | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 135.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked SSC Napoli | 36c | 113.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked SSC Napoli | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed SSC Napoli | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked SSC Napoli | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Hellas Verona FC | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Hellas Verona FC | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked SSC Napoli | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked SSC Napoli | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed SSC Napoli | 30c | 88.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 80.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed SSC Napoli | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Hellas Verona FC | 64c | 63.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…62b8backed SSC Napoli | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SSC Napoli | 38c | 59.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSC Napoli | 32c | 57.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked SSC Napoli | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed SSC Napoli | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked SSC Napoli | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed SSC Napoli | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed SSC Napoli | 31c | 42.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed SSC Napoli | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked SSC Napoli | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed SSC Napoli | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed SSC Napoli | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Hellas Verona FC | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SSC Napoli | 38c | 33.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…2856backed SSC Napoli | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked SSC Napoli | 53c | 29.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed SSC Napoli | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…2bfdbacked Hellas Verona FC | 69c | 24.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…64d6backed Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 23.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…1aa6backed Hellas Verona FC | 69c | 17.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Hellas Verona FC | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.