Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf15090aa187d26452981b696f168d4b1e6bfac4cf947b4b6e856ce189e923266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 16c | 1,248$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 19c | 246$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…22dbbacked Over | 22c | 229.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 19c | 195$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 151.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…2856backed Over | 19c | 118.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed Over | 19c | 100.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 18c | 77.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 66c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.