Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d17363dbc8c402e3886f0e0dc175441c6827ba079b61224926f36a4bfbf167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 4,110$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.67 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 60c | 3,758$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 60c | 2,870$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,019$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.26 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed No | 10c | 705.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +275%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed No | 8c | 485.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 58c | 232.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 40c | 187.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 81.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed No | 53c | 52.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 43.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…47fdbacked No | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 60c | 42.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 32.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 59c | 30.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 26.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 48c | 25.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…22dbbacked Yes | 61c | 21.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.